Health
Health money for Africa now comes through one-to-one deals, and patients' data is part of the price.
- 7,890 Confirmed Ebola cases in the DRC by 23 September 2026, with 3,799 deaths Source: who.int for 7,890 (opens in a new tab)
- $3bn Raised for Ebola at a meeting led by the United States; African governments gave $110m Source: africacdc.org for $3bn (opens in a new tab)
- 24 African countries with a US health deal, worth about $23bn over five years Source: kff.org for 24 (opens in a new tab)
- 943,000 Trained health workers in Africa with no job in 2024 Source: afro.who.int for 943,000 (opens in a new tab)
- 5.85m Health workers Africa will be short of by 2030 Source: afro.who.int for 5.85m (opens in a new tab)
- 4.3% Share of Nigeria's government budget spent on health in 2023, against a promised 15% Source: data.worldbank.org for 4.3% (opens in a new tab)
What happened at the UN
In one sentenceEvery September, heads of state and ministers meet in New York for the opening of the UN General Assembly.
Every September, heads of state and ministers meet in New York for the opening of the . This year one meeting was meant to agree a on preparing for pandemics. On 25 September it failed. The United States said it could not support the text, and Italy and the also objected. African governments, speaking together through Burundi, supported it. The text now goes to a vote before the end of the year.
Two days earlier, the United States brought a group of countries together outside the . That meeting raised about $3 billion to fight Ebola in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). African governments together gave $110 million, less than 4% of the total. asked that every dollar be tracked from promise to payment.
A group set up by Ghana's President John Mahama, called , also published a plan. It proposes merging several global health funds and handing their work to African governments over five to ten years. It records that outside money for health in Africa fell by almost 70% between 2021 and 2025.
What is really going on
In one sentenceThe Ebola outbreak in the DRC is the largest the country has ever had.
The Ebola outbreak in the DRC is the largest the country has ever had. By 23 September, WHO had confirmed 7,890 cases and 3,799 deaths, most of them in Ituri province in the east. This type of Ebola, called , has no approved vaccine or treatment. Trials of possible vaccines began in August and September.
At the same time, the money that paid for much of Africa's health care is shrinking. Global aid for health fell to about $38 billion in 2025, less than half its level in 2021. raised $12.6 billion against a target of $18 billion. lost its US pledge and cut a third of its staff.
The United States now sends much of its health money through separate deals with individual countries, which it calls "" health agreements. Thirty-five countries have signed, 24 of them in Africa. Each government must pay a share of the cost, on average 39%, and that share rises each year. Several deals also give US agencies access to patient records, disease tracking systems and samples of viruses.
Africa is short of health workers, yet many trained ones cannot find a job. WHO expects the region to be short of 5.85 million health workers by 2030. It also counts 943,000 trained nurses, midwives and doctors with no job in 2024. Many leave for Europe and North America, where nurses earn about seven times more. Hiring all of them would cost about $7.8 billion a year.
In 2001, African governments promised in to spend 15% of their budgets on health. Few have done so. In 2023, South Africa spent 16.9% and Namibia 15%, while Nigeria spent 4.3% and the DRC 4%.
The 2025 figure is the lowest since 2009.
Show the data as a table
| Item | Development assistance for health, US$ billion |
|---|---|
| 2021 peak | 80.3 |
| 2025 | 38.4 |
Show the data as a table
| Item | Millions of health workers |
|---|---|
| Projected shortfall by 2030 | 5.85 |
| Unemployed in 2024 | 0.94 |
Sources for this section (6)
- WHO: Disease Outbreak News, 23 September 2026 (opens in a new tab)
- Global Fund: eighth replenishment result (opens in a new tab)
- Health Policy Watch: Gavi cuts staff (opens in a new tab)
- KFF: tracker of US health agreements (opens in a new tab)
- WHO Africa: State of the Health Workforce in Africa 2026 (opens in a new tab)
- World Bank: government health spending as a share of all government spending (opens in a new tab)
Country by country
In one sentenceKenya signed its US deal in December 2025.
Kenya signed its US deal in December 2025. The deal totals $2.48 billion, and Kenya pays $850 million of that. A Kenyan court suspended the deal because of the way it shares health data. A higher court later let it continue, and its final ruling is due on 30 October. Kenyan law already says health data must be kept in Kenya.
Other governments have pushed back. Zimbabwe ended talks in February 2026 and Ghana turned down a deal in April. Zambia's negotiators objected to sharing data for 25 years in return for five years of money. On 25 September, Zambia said the United States had agreed to replace those terms.
Nigeria has the largest deal, $5.05 billion, and has promised to pay 59% of it. That is a big promise from a government that spent 4.3% of its budget on health in 2023. Mozambique pays under 4% of its deal and Malawi under 7%, so both will struggle as US money falls away.
The DRC is fighting Ebola with a health budget that took 4% of government spending in 2023. Its US deal asks it to pay a quarter of $1.2 billion. Neighbouring Uganda has already ended its own outbreak.
Africa makes about 0.1% of the world's vaccines, and the wants Africa to make 60% of what it needs by 2040. Some firms are building that capacity, including Biovac in South Africa and EVA Pharma in Egypt. The , a new continental regulator based in Rwanda, started work in October 2025.
Abuja Declaration target: 15%. Namibia's value is 14.99%. Domestic general government health expenditure as a share of general government expenditure; excludes external aid channelled through government.
Show the data as a table
| Item | Domestic government health spending, % of government spending, 2023 |
|---|---|
| South Africa | 16.9 |
| Namibia | 15 |
| Botswana | 14.6 |
| Cabo Verde | 13.8 |
| Ghana | 10.1 |
| Rwanda | 8.9 |
| Zambia | 8.9 |
| Kenya | 8.7 |
| Egypt | 6.9 |
| Mozambique | 6.8 |
| Côte d'Ivoire | 6.6 |
| Ethiopia | 5.7 |
| Tanzania | 5.1 |
| Uganda | 4.9 |
| Nigeria | 4.3 |
| DR Congo | 4 |
| Cameroon | 3.9 |
| Senegal | 3.6 |
| Malawi | 3.3 |
All 24 African signatories. Agreements run five years (2026-2030) except Botswana and South Sudan (three years). Largest totals: Nigeria $5.05bn, Tanzania $3.1bn, Kenya $2.48bn, Uganda $2.30bn, Mozambique $1.90bn. Overall co-investment share across all 35 countries: 39%.
Show the data as a table
| Item | Country co-investment as % of total agreement value, 2026-2030 |
|---|---|
| Botswana | 79.3 |
| Nigeria | 58.9 |
| Tanzania | 58.1 |
| Cameroon | 53 |
| Côte d'Ivoire | 48 |
| Burkina Faso | 42.1 |
| Angola | 41.3 |
| Niger | 40.1 |
| Lesotho | 36.4 |
| Guinea | 35.9 |
| Kenya | 34.3 |
| Rwanda | 30.9 |
| Ethiopia | 30.7 |
| Senegal | 30.2 |
| Liberia | 29 |
| Sierra Leone | 25.6 |
| Uganda | 25.1 |
| DR Congo | 25 |
| Madagascar | 23.5 |
| Burundi | 16.7 |
| Eswatini | 16 |
| South Sudan | 12 |
| Malawi | 6.9 |
| Mozambique | 3.7 |
Sources for this section (7)
- Capital FM: Kenya's Court of Appeal on the health deal (opens in a new tab)
- Carnegie Endowment: Kenya's data protection and the US health strategy (opens in a new tab)
- Lawfare: how African data laws shape the US deals (opens in a new tab)
- Semafor: Zambia and the US health data dispute (opens in a new tab)
- KFF: amounts and government shares by country (opens in a new tab)
- Gavi: vaccine manufacturing in Africa (opens in a new tab)
- Health Policy Watch: the African Medicines Agency (opens in a new tab)
Why this matters
In one sentenceWhen health money comes through one-to-one deals, each government negotiates alone.
When health money comes through one-to-one deals, each government negotiates alone. A small country has little power to refuse data terms or payment schedules. If 24 African governments agreed the same basic rules, they would be much harder to ignore.
Governments are also negotiating rules on sharing virus samples and data at WHO, with a decision due in May 2027. Until then, the one-to-one deals are setting those rules in practice, one country at a time.
Money for pandemic preparedness mostly goes to disease tracking, testing and research, which protect the whole world from diseases that cross borders. What catches an outbreak early is a trained nurse in a staffed rural clinic, and that gets the least. The world raised $3 billion for Ebola in a few weeks. Nobody has called a meeting to put Africa's 943,000 idle health workers into jobs.
Sources for this section (1)
The case against this view
In one sentenceFor twenty years African governments have asked to own their health programmes, and paying a rising share is one way to do that.
For twenty years African governments have asked to own their health programmes, and paying a rising share is one way to do that. Nigeria and Tanzania chose to pay more than half of their deals, which may protect their own health spending in future budgets. The Ebola money came quickly because one country with resources acted, and a slower UN process might have cost lives. National courts and data laws, as in Kenya, may already protect patients as well as a common African rule would.
By audience
What you can do
Governments
Do thisPublish the full text of your US health deal and the share your government must pay each year, and put that share in the 2027 budget.
WhyThe largest payments fall due in 2027 and 2028, and terms that are not public cannot be defended in parliament or in court.
Governments
Do thisPay for posts for unemployed nurses and midwives before paying for new training places.
WhyNearly a million trained workers are idle while clinics are short of staff.
AU and regional bodies
Do thisAsk Africa CDC to draft one set of data rules that all 24 African signatories can use, before the in May 2027.
WhyOne shared position carries more weight than 24 separate ones.
NGOs and civil society
Do thisTrack the $3 billion promised for Ebola against what is actually paid, and publish the gap each month.
WhyPromises mean little until the money reaches clinics in Ituri.
Business and investors
Do thisBid for vaccine supply contracts backed by Gavi, and seek approval from the African Medicines Agency.
WhyA continental regulator and guaranteed orders lower the risk of making vaccines in Africa.
Philanthropy
Do thisHelp pay first-job salaries for nurses, on a schedule that governments sign up to take over.
WhyHiring workers Africa has already trained is the cheapest way to add health workers.
Researchers and media
Do thisBuild a public record of each country's health budget, its US deal payments and its hiring of health workers.
WhyPromises such as the Abuja target can only be enforced if someone measures them.
Young people and citizens
Do thisAsk candidates and local governments how many health jobs they will fund, and when.
WhyYoung nurses carry most of the unemployment, and hiring is a budget choice.
October 2026 to December 2027
Dates to watch
-
12 to 18 October 2026
Annual meetings of the IMF and the World Bank, Bangkok
Limits on public wage bills in decide whether governments can hire health workers. Source (opens in a new tab)
-
30 October 2026
Kenya's Court of Appeal rules on the Kenya-US health deal
The first court test in Africa of the data terms in these deals. Source (opens in a new tab)
-
December 2026
UN General Assembly vote on the pandemic declaration
Shows whether Africa's joint support can carry the text past US and European objections. Source (opens in a new tab)
-
May 2027
The World Health Assembly, the yearly meeting of all WHO members, receives the rules on sharing
These global rules would cover what the one-to-one deals are deciding now. Source (opens in a new tab)
Recommendations
Dig deeper
- Disease Outbreak News: Bundibugyo virus disease, DRC (opens in a new tab)WHOThe latest official situation report on the Ebola outbreak.
- G20 mobilises $2.9bn for Ebola response (opens in a new tab)Africa CDCThe pledges made in New York and the call to trace every dollar.
- Tracker of America First health agreements (opens in a new tab)KFFCountry-by-country amounts and co-financing terms, with downloadable data.
- US and Global Fund funding reductions in MOU countries (opens in a new tab)KFFHow far US and Global Fund money to agreement countries will fall by 2029.
- Tracking the America First bilateral health agreements (opens in a new tab)Think Global HealthAnalysis of the terms, including back-loaded domestic contributions.
- State of the Health Workforce in Africa 2026 (opens in a new tab)WHO AfricaShortages, unemployment, migration and the cost of employing idle health workers.
- Accra Reset: plan for health sovereignty (opens in a new tab)Health Policy WatchThe proposal to consolidate global health funds.
- Kenya, data protection and the America First health strategy (opens in a new tab)Carnegie EndowmentThe data clauses in Kenya's agreement and the legal challenge.
- Interview with the head of the African Medicines Agency (opens in a new tab)Health Policy WatchWhat the new continental regulator will and will not do.
- Domestic government health expenditure, % of government spending (opens in a new tab)World Bank dataCountry data for tracking the Abuja target.
Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC)
Africa's second-largest country by area, in central Africa. Its east has seen armed conflict for three decades, and it holds much of the world's cobalt.
UN General Assembly
The meeting of all 193 UN member states, each with one vote. It meets every year from September. It can make statements, elect members of other bodies and approve the UN budget, but most of what it says does not bind governments.
Political declaration
A statement of shared intent agreed by governments. It does not commit money or create legal duties, but funders and agencies use it to set priorities.
European Union (EU)
A union of 27 European countries with shared laws, a single market and a large aid budget.
World Health Organization (WHO)
The UN's health agency. It sets health standards and coordinates responses to outbreaks. The United States left it in January 2026.
Africa CDC
The African Union's public health agency, based in Addis Ababa. It coordinates disease control across the continent.
The Accra Reset
A process started in 2025 by Ghana's President John Mahama after cuts to health aid. In September 2026 its panel proposed merging several global health funds and handing their work to African governments over five to ten years.
GlossarySource: healthpolicy-watch.news (opens in a new tab)
Bundibugyo Ebola
One of several types of Ebola virus. Unlike the more common Zaire type, it has no approved vaccine or treatment.
The Global Fund
An international fund that pays for HIV, tuberculosis and malaria programmes. It raises money from governments and private donors every three years.
Gavi
An international alliance that buys vaccines for lower-income countries. Countries pay a rising share as their incomes grow.
US "America First" health agreements
Health funding deals the United States has signed with individual countries since 2025. The receiving government pays a rising share, and several deals include access to health data.
The Abuja target
A promise made by African governments in Abuja in 2001 to spend 15% of their budgets on health. Few have met it.
African Union (AU)
The organisation of 55 African states, based in Addis Ababa. Its heads of state meet each February. It can suspend members after a coup.
African Medicines Agency
A continental regulator for medicines and vaccines, based in Kigali. It is still being set up.
IMF programme
A loan from the International Monetary Fund that comes with conditions on a government's budget, such as limits on the public wage bill.
Pathogen sharing and benefit-sharing
Pathogens are viruses and bacteria. Countries that share samples and genetic data on them want a fair share of the vaccines and medicines made from them. This is called benefit-sharing.
Words used on this page
- Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC)
- Africa's second-largest country by area, in central Africa. Its east has seen armed conflict for three decades, and it holds much of the world's cobalt. Security and conflict briefing · Glossary
- UN General Assembly
- The meeting of all 193 UN member states, each with one vote. It meets every year from September. It can make statements, elect members of other bodies and approve the UN budget, but most of what it says does not bind governments. Glossary · Source: un.org
- Political declaration
- A statement of shared intent agreed by governments. It does not commit money or create legal duties, but funders and agencies use it to set priorities. Glossary
- European Union (EU)
- A union of 27 European countries with shared laws, a single market and a large aid budget. Glossary
- World Health Organization (WHO)
- The UN's health agency. It sets health standards and coordinates responses to outbreaks. The United States left it in January 2026. Glossary · Source: who.int
- Africa CDC
- The African Union's public health agency, based in Addis Ababa. It coordinates disease control across the continent. Glossary · Source: africacdc.org
- The Accra Reset
- A process started in 2025 by Ghana's President John Mahama after cuts to health aid. In September 2026 its panel proposed merging several global health funds and handing their work to African governments over five to ten years. Glossary · Source: healthpolicy-watch.news
- Bundibugyo Ebola
- One of several types of Ebola virus. Unlike the more common Zaire type, it has no approved vaccine or treatment. Glossary · Source: who.int
- The Global Fund
- An international fund that pays for HIV, tuberculosis and malaria programmes. It raises money from governments and private donors every three years. Glossary · Source: theglobalfund.org
- Gavi
- An international alliance that buys vaccines for lower-income countries. Countries pay a rising share as their incomes grow. Glossary · Source: gavi.org
- US "America First" health agreements
- Health funding deals the United States has signed with individual countries since 2025. The receiving government pays a rising share, and several deals include access to health data. Our recommendation on this · Glossary
- The Abuja target
- A promise made by African governments in Abuja in 2001 to spend 15% of their budgets on health. Few have met it. Glossary
- African Union (AU)
- The organisation of 55 African states, based in Addis Ababa. Its heads of state meet each February. It can suspend members after a coup. Glossary · Source: au.int
- African Medicines Agency
- A continental regulator for medicines and vaccines, based in Kigali. It is still being set up. Glossary
- World Health Assembly
- The yearly meeting of all WHO members, held in Geneva each May. Glossary
- IMF programme
- A loan from the International Monetary Fund that comes with conditions on a government's budget, such as limits on the public wage bill. Development cooperation briefing · Glossary
- Pathogen sharing and benefit-sharing
- Pathogens are viruses and bacteria. Countries that share samples and genetic data on them want a fair share of the vaccines and medicines made from them. This is called benefit-sharing. Our recommendation on this · Glossary